Jaguars vs Chargers prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NFL playoff picks, expert’s best bets on 33-14 run

Jaguars vs Chargers prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NFL playoff picks, expert’s best bets on 33-14 run

Jaguars vs Chargers prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NFL playoff picks, expert’s best bets on 33-14 run

The 2023 NFL Playoffs begin Saturday, with the final drink set for primetime TIAA Bank Field. The Jacksonville Jaguars will host the Los Angeles Chargers in the first-ever playoff meeting between the two franchises. It’s also a rematch of a Week 3 tilt in which Jacksonville won by a lopsided margin in Los Angeles. The No. 5-seeded Chargers are 10-7 overall and 4-1 in the last five games, while the No. 4-seeded Jaguars begin a five-game winning streak with a 9-8 overall record as AFC South champions.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Jacksonville. The Chargers are favored by 1.5, while the over/under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks they will score, is 47.5 in the latest Jaguars vs Chargers odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before we make Chargers vs. Jaguars picks and NFL playoff predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s resident Jaguars expert Mike Tierney has to say.

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Mike Tierney covered the NFL for decades and reported on seven Super Bowls. He entered the 2022 NFL season 232-204-10 against the spread since the start of the 2018 season. Plus, he’s an incredible 33-14 over his last 47 picks in games involving the Jaguars, bringing in nearly $1,800. Everyone who followed him is upstairs.

Now, Tierney has set his sights on the Chargers against the Jaguars and has just locked in his NFL playoff picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see its picks. Now, here are several NFL odds betting lines and trends for Chargers vs Jaguars:

  • Difference between Jaguars and Chargers: Chargers -1.5
  • Jaguars vs Chargers over/under: 47.5 points
  • Jaguars vs Chargers money line: Chargers -135, Jaguars +115
  • LAC: Chargers are 7-2 ATS in road games
  • JAX: Jaguars are 4-4 ATS in home games/neutral
  • Jaguars vs Chargers selections: see the selections here

Featured game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Why chargers can cover

The Chargers are above average in scoring, averaging 23.0 points per game, and rank in the NFL’s top 10 with 359.3 total yards per game. The Chargers are excellent at ball safety, having committed just 19 giveaways in 17 games, and Los Angeles has produced 352 first downs this season.

Los Angeles is No. 3 in passing yards with an outstanding conversion rate of 43.2% in third place. The face of the franchise is quarterback Justin Herbert, who ranks No. 2 in passing yards and No. 3 in total offense. Herbert is also No. 2 with 477 completions and connects on over 68% of his passes. Herbert handles the ball with an outstanding 1.4% interception rate and is in the NFL’s top eight with 25 touchdown passes and a 5.16% sack rate. See which team to choose here.

Why the Jaguars can cover

Led by Trevor Lawrence, the Jaguars are in the top 10 in offense (23.8 ppg) and total offense (357.4 yards per game), with a top-eight rating on first down (352). Jacksonville is excellent in the air, ranking in the top 10 in passing yards, and the Jaguars have the third-fewest interceptions (nine) in the league.

The Jaguars are also solid on the ground, averaging 4.7 yards per carry, and converting nearly 42% of third down opportunities. Jacksonville also faces a vulnerable Chargers defense that is below NFL average in both score defense (22.6 points allowed per game) and total defense. Los Angeles is also No. 28 in rush defense, giving up more than 145 yards per game, and the Chargers are last to give up 5.4 yards per rush to opponents. See which team to choose here.

How to make Chargers vs Jaguars picks

Tierney has analyzed this game and while we can tell you he’s leaning under the point total, he’s also discovered a critical X-factor that’s causing him to jump to one side of the gap. He’s just sharing what it is, and which side to support, at SportsLine.

Who wins the Chargers against the Jaguars in the 2023 NFL Playoffs? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread unavoidable? Visit SportsLine now to see the Chargers’ picks against the Tierney Jaguars, all from the expert who is 33-14 on picks involving the Jaguars, and find out.

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